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Avoiding the crunch

01 December 2007

Airfinance Journal presents an overview of 2007 from the perspective of the banks, airlines and lessors. Despite the credit crunch, the growth of European airlines shows no signs of slowing down. Siqalane Taho and Janet Du Chenne report.

Read more: 2007 European airlines Ryanair EasyJet IATA credit crunch

It is tempting to draw comparisons. When the Japanese housing loan debt crisis hit in the early 1990s it sent shock waves through the international markets. Borrowers in the aviation sector suddenly found that the market they had come to rely on for cheap, lowly priced debt had suddenly turned and lenders were putting a squeeze on margins.

What many thought was a mere blip turned out to be a long upward shift in pricing and market fortunes that would only turn in 2003. The recent US sub-prime mortgage lending crisis is slowly beginning to make its impact on the market.

The International Air Transport Association has slashed nearly $2 billion, or 19%, off its 2008 profit estimates for the global airline sector.

It fears that the credit crunch will hit airline balance sheets and slow the industry's long-term recovery.

Though 2007 has shown signs of global economic uncertainty, two...


Quote

"I'm doing some overbooking. We know that there will always be some cancellations."

John Leahy, chief operating officer, customers, Airbus

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